{"id":43458,"date":"2026-05-01T12:23:39","date_gmt":"2026-05-01T10:23:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.deepseareporter.com\/?p=43458"},"modified":"2026-05-01T12:33:53","modified_gmt":"2026-05-01T10:33:53","slug":"kraftig-el-nino-narmar-sig-med-varme-och-extremvader","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.deepseareporter.com\/sv\/kraftig-el-nino-narmar-sig-med-varme-och-extremvader\/","title":{"rendered":"Kraftig El Ni\u00f1o n\u00e4rmar sig med v\u00e4rme och extremv\u00e4der"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Forskare och myndigheter f\u00f6ljer utvecklingen i Stilla havet noga. En ny El Ni\u00f1o kan leda till kraftigt stigande temperaturer och globala v\u00e4rmerekord det kommande \u00e5ret.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

El Ni\u00f1o-f\u00f6rh\u00e5llanden inneb\u00e4r att ytvattnet i \u00f6stra delarna av Stilla havet v\u00e4rms upp j\u00e4mf\u00f6rt med normaltillst\u00e5ndet. Enligt meteorologiska v\u00e4rldsorganisationen WMO:s senaste rapport stiger ytvattentemperaturen snabbt, n\u00e5got som kan tyda p\u00e5 El Ni\u00f1o-f\u00f6rh\u00e5llanden redan i maj\u2013juli i \u00e5r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Data fr\u00e5n den amerikanska v\u00e4dermyndigheten NOAA visar att det \u00e4r en drygt 50-procentig chans att en kraftig El Ni\u00f1o utvecklas mot slutet av \u00e5ret, s\u00e4ger Erik Kjellstr\u00f6m, professor i klimatologi vid SMHI.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Det \u00e4r fortfarande f\u00f6r tidigt att s\u00e4ga n\u00e5got i detalj men sannolikheten f\u00f6r en El Ni\u00f1o som senare i \u00e5r kan utvecklas till kraftig har \u00f6kat v\u00e4sentligt under v\u00e5ren.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u00e4rmare ekvatorn<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

De omr\u00e5den som p\u00e5verkas mest av El Ni\u00f1o-f\u00f6rh\u00e5llanden ligger n\u00e4rmare ekvatorn och kan f\u00e5 kraftigt \u00f6kad nederb\u00f6rd eller sv\u00e5r torka. H\u00e4r uppe i norr finns inte n\u00e5gon entydig signal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Det finns studier som pekar p\u00e5 att det vid en kraftig El Ni\u00f1o \u00e4r relativt vanligt med lite kallare vintrar h\u00e4r uppe i Skandinavien. Men det \u00e4r ingen hundraprocentig sanning och ingenting man kan g\u00f6ra s\u00e4kra prognoser utifr\u00e5n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Men det betyder inte att El Ni\u00f1o inte kan f\u00e5 konsekvenser f\u00f6r hela planeten.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Senaste det r\u00e5dde El Ni\u00f1o-f\u00f6rh\u00e5llanden var 2023\u20132024 och 2024 blev det varmaste \u00e5r som hittills uppm\u00e4tts genom kombinationen av en kraftfull El Ni\u00f1o och klimatf\u00f6r\u00e4ndringen orsakad av m\u00e4nniskan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c4ven om det \u00e4r f\u00f6r tidigt att dra n\u00e5gra definitiva slutsatser finns det ocks\u00e5 tecken som tyder p\u00e5 att en \u201dsuper-El Ni\u00f1o\u201d h\u00e5ller p\u00e5 att utvecklas, n\u00e5got som skulle f\u00f6rv\u00e4rra extrema v\u00e4derh\u00e4ndelser i stora delar av v\u00e4rlden och bidra till att h\u00f6ja den globala medeltemperaturen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
El Ni\u00f1o \u00e4r ett v\u00e4derfenomen i Stilla havet med f\u00f6r\u00e4ndringar i ytvattentemperatur och passadvindar som medf\u00f6r stor p\u00e5verkan p\u00e5 fiske och jordbruk. Grafik: Anders Humlebo\/TT<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Riskerar extremv\u00e4der<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Det finns inga tydliga tecken p\u00e5 att klimatf\u00f6r\u00e4ndringen p\u00e5verkar El Ni\u00f1os frekvens eller intensitet, men den kan f\u00f6rst\u00e4rka effekterna av v\u00e4derfenomenet. Kort sagt \u2013 extremv\u00e4dren riskerar att bli extremare.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– I takt med att vi f\u00e5r ett varmare klimat f\u00e5r vi ocks\u00e5 ett mer intensivt hydrologiskt kretslopp, s\u00e5 att b\u00e5de nederb\u00f6rd och avdunstning \u00f6kar i intensitet, f\u00f6rklarar Erik Kjellstr\u00f6m.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Om man nu t\u00e4nker sig en El Ni\u00f1o-situation med v\u00e4ldigt torra f\u00f6rh\u00e5llanden i Australien kommer uttorkningen i ett varmare klimat att kunna bli \u00e4nnu kraftigare. Men d\u00e4r det i st\u00e4llet regnar j\u00e4ttemycket som Ecuador och Peru eller delar av USA kan nederb\u00f6rden bli \u00e4nnu kraftigare i ett varmare klimat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Forskare och myndigheter f\u00f6ljer utvecklingen i Stilla havet noga. En ny El Ni\u00f1o kan leda till kraftigt stigande temperaturer och globala v\u00e4rmerekord det kommande \u00e5ret.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":43455,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[252,580,244],"tags":[1288,306,1249,339,1394],"class_list":["post-43458","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-forskning","category-internationellt","category-klimat-och-miljo","tag-el-nino","tag-forskning","tag-klimat-och-miljo","tag-klimatforandringar","tag-varmare-hav"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nKraftig El Ni\u00f1o n\u00e4rmar sig med v\u00e4rme och extremv\u00e4der - Deep Sea Reporter<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.deepseareporter.com\/sv\/kraftig-el-nino-narmar-sig-med-varme-och-extremvader\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Kraftig El Ni\u00f1o n\u00e4rmar sig med v\u00e4rme och extremv\u00e4der - Deep Sea Reporter\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Forskare och myndigheter f\u00f6ljer utvecklingen i Stilla havet noga. 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