{"id":35342,"date":"2024-05-31T15:18:41","date_gmt":"2024-05-31T13:18:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.deepseareporter.com\/?p=35342"},"modified":"2025-02-26T14:51:39","modified_gmt":"2025-02-26T13:51:39","slug":"sillfisket-i-ostersjon-kan-oka-med-139-procent-sager-internationella-havsforskningsradet-ices","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.deepseareporter.com\/sv\/sillfisket-i-ostersjon-kan-oka-med-139-procent-sager-internationella-havsforskningsradet-ices\/","title":{"rendered":"Sillfisket i \u00d6stersj\u00f6n kan \u00f6ka med 139 procent s\u00e4ger Internationella havsforskningsr\u00e5det (ICES)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Fisket efter sill och str\u00f6mming i centrala \u00d6stersj\u00f6n kan \u00f6ka med 139 procent, anser ICES, Internationella havsforskningsr\u00e5det, som idag publicerade sina r\u00e5d till EU f\u00f6r fisket 2025.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

F\u00f6rra \u00e5ret ville EU-kommissionen stoppa allt sillfiske efter ICES rekommendationer. Nu h\u00e4vdar forskarna att ber\u00e4kningen av \u00e5rsklassen sill f\u00f6dd 2022 underskattades i fjol. ICES konstaterar ocks\u00e5 att nyrekryteringen av sill\/str\u00f6mming har g\u00e5tt b\u00e4ttre \u00e4n v\u00e4ntat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fiskforskaren Henrik Sved\u00e4ng, \u00d6stersj\u00f6centrum, Stockholms universitet, \u00e4r starkt kritisk till ICES nya r\u00e5d:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– ICES bygger sin slutsats om en extrem \u00f6kning p\u00e5 139 procent p\u00e5 n\u00e5got b\u00e4ttre rekrytering, vilket oftast f\u00e5r modifieras i efterhand. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Denna typ av gl\u00e4djekalkyler har f\u00f6rekommit tidigare, t ex f\u00f6r v\u00e4stra torsken d\u00e4r man i efterhand sett att best\u00e5ndet inte var s\u00e5 stort. Det best\u00e5ndet \u00e4r nu kraschat sedan b\u00f6rjan av 2000-talet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Med en d\u00e5res envishet k\u00f6r man om samma resonemang, 2021 h\u00f6jdes kvoten i Bottniska viken f\u00f6r str\u00f6mming med ca 80 %, den \u00f6kningen kunde man inte f\u00e5nga, tv\u00e4rtom sj\u00f6nk infiskningen under det \u00e5ret. Att d\u00f6ma av det ICES skriver idag s\u00e5 har man inte tagit intryck av att str\u00f6mmingen minskat starkt i svenskt fiske, ej heller den unders\u00f6kning vi publicerade f\u00f6rra \u00e5ret fr\u00e5n Stockholms sk\u00e4rg\u00e5rd<\/p>\n\n\n\n

ICES bygger sina r\u00e5d p\u00e5 provfisken och egna modeller – men framf\u00f6rallt p\u00e5 f\u00e5ngstrapporter fr\u00e5n de stora industrifisketr\u00e5larna. ICES konstaterar att felrapportering \u00e4r ett p\u00e5g\u00e5ende problem som g\u00f6r prognoserna os\u00e4kra. ICES skriver:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

”Betydande anstr\u00e4ngning har gjorts f\u00f6r att uppskatta felrapporteringen, vilket har resulterat i mindre revideringar – men arbetet har inte slutf\u00f6rts och p\u00e5g\u00e5r fortfarande. Felrapportering undergr\u00e4ver datakvaliteten.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Forskarna har r\u00e4knat fel f\u00f6rr<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

2017 s\u00e5g allt bra ut i ICES ber\u00e4kningar. Fiskekvoten h\u00f6jdes rej\u00e4lt. Men n\u00e4r man 2021 fick nya data ber\u00e4knades best\u00e5ndet bara ha varit h\u00e4lften s\u00e5 stort \u2013 och farligt n\u00e4ra gr\u00e4nsen f\u00f6r kollaps. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

P\u00e5 grundval av ICES r\u00e5d ska EU-kommissionen ge sina rekommendationer om fisket i \u00d6stersj\u00f6n 2025. Det slutgiltiga beslutet tas av alla EU-l\u00e4nders fiskeministrar vid ett m\u00f6te i oktober 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Processen har kritiserats, inte minst av frist\u00e5ende milj\u00f6organisationer, f\u00f6r att den sker bakom st\u00e4ngda d\u00f6rrar. \u00c4ven EUs egen ombudsman kr\u00e4ver att allm\u00e4nheten ska f\u00e5 veta hur ministrarna argumenterar. Idag \u00e4r diskussionerna hemliga – bara besluten offentligg\u00f6rs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Henrik Sved\u00e4ng:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Snart beh\u00f6vs en kriskommission f\u00f6r att unders\u00f6ka vad ICES, EU-kommissionen och ministerr\u00e5det i en extremt klandestin form kokar ihop utan insyn eller m\u00f6jlighet att f\u00f6lja processen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Men forskarna inom ICES var inte eniga i sitt beslut. SLUs representanter i ICES har g\u00e5tt ut med kommentarer till r\u00e5det – l\u00e4s det h\u00e4r.<\/a> Mikaela Bergenius Nord (SLU Aqua) tycker att r\u00e5den \u00e4r f\u00f6r h\u00f6ga.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u00e4nk till ICES r\u00e5d f\u00f6r sill\/str\u00f6mming i centrala \u00d6stersj\u00f6n finns h\u00e4r.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Fisket efter sill och str\u00f6mming i centrala \u00d6stersj\u00f6n kan \u00f6ka med 139 procent, anser ICES, Internationella havsforskningsr\u00e5det, som idag publicerade sina r\u00e5d till EU f\u00f6r fisket 2025.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":31668,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[235],"tags":[2475,2495,1189,1442,726,587],"class_list":["post-35342","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-fiske","tag-eu-valet","tag-fiskforskare","tag-ices-2","tag-overfiske-2","tag-sill","tag-stromming"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nSillfisket i \u00d6stersj\u00f6n kan \u00f6ka med 139 procent s\u00e4ger Internationella havsforskningsr\u00e5det (ICES) - Deep Sea Reporter<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Fisket efter sill och str\u00f6mming i centrala \u00d6stersj\u00f6n kan \u00f6ka med 139 procent, anser ICES, Internationella havsforskningsr\u00e5det, som idag publicerade sina r\u00e5d till EU f\u00f6r fisket 2025.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.deepseareporter.com\/sv\/sillfisket-i-ostersjon-kan-oka-med-139-procent-sager-internationella-havsforskningsradet-ices\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Sillfisket i \u00d6stersj\u00f6n kan \u00f6ka med 139 procent s\u00e4ger Internationella havsforskningsr\u00e5det (ICES) - 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